Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 3.384624 3.737873 4.120759 4.568008 5.077863 5.643035 6.319759
2025-09-14 2.854457 3.321841 3.863204 4.541745 5.376690 6.379938 7.690985
2025-09-21 2.509885 3.030343 3.662329 4.496231 5.582722 6.971751 8.917445
2025-09-28 2.196245 2.724480 3.388800 4.300115 5.540982 7.206805 9.674825
2025-10-05 2.040413 2.594319 3.313676 4.336834 5.789300 7.833138 11.033133
2025-10-12 1.928698 2.506833 3.279667 4.415730 6.091914 8.557425 12.628236
2025-10-19 1.833146 2.429935 3.248698 4.488941 6.385180 9.292773 14.344019
2025-10-26 1.747590 2.357993 3.215412 4.550495 6.660487 10.025391 16.164585
2025-11-02 1.663701 2.280715 3.165993 4.579399 6.882260 10.691724 17.973150
2025-11-09 1.547363 2.147569 3.023108 4.448810 6.828711 10.883535 18.935180
2025-11-16 1.460495 2.051886 2.928860 4.385352 6.876883 11.251713 20.288871
2025-11-23 1.391856 1.978903 2.863580 4.361799 6.988040 11.741693 21.967007
2025-11-30 1.359500 1.960566 2.884024 4.485178 7.376678 12.810662 25.109556
2025-12-07 1.297662 1.892612 2.820838 4.460999 7.495382 13.376569 27.266666
2025-12-14 1.237112 1.822957 2.749933 4.416703 7.570380 13.862705 29.340842
2025-12-21 1.152883 1.710886 2.602413 4.224931 7.343393 13.693883 29.775285
2025-12-28 1.118035 1.676731 2.582393 4.260850 7.564328 14.505015 32.890247
2026-01-04 1.092994 1.657032 2.585141 4.338012 7.875005 15.557014 36.921074
2026-01-11 1.068518 1.636754 2.585264 4.409607 8.181183 16.644820 41.361007
2026-01-18 1.043632 1.614317 2.579944 4.469797 8.469123 17.734290 46.135634
2026-01-25 1.015260 1.584386 2.559341 4.498059 8.690151 18.694865 50.809191
2026-02-01 0.965313 1.514940 2.463931 4.370362 8.550322 18.720909 52.376068
2026-02-08 0.928078 1.465969 2.403172 4.308303 8.553599 19.120468 55.375079